Friday, September 19, 2014

Filling in the blanks for TSN's Field position article

On September 18th, Paul LaPolice wrote this great article for TSN, which breaks down some of the scoring data across the CFL this year.  It's a good read, if you haven't checked it out yet, take a moment and do so, I'll wait here.

The one downside to this article was that Mr. LaPolice opted to trim his tables down to highlight only a subset of teams in each table.

Using the Drive Search feature on CFLStats.ca, I will fill in the rest for those who are interested. Please note that because I do not have direct access to the stats that TSN uses, my numbers are slightly different. I can't explain these discrepancies, as I'm confident in the accuracy of my data.  It's possible that in some cases, our criteria for certain cases is different, for example the total number of possessions (TSN cites 1497 possessions, while my data includes 1485.)  Whatever the reason for these discrepancies, they constitute a very small portion of the data and do not change the overall trends of the results.

For each of these datasets, if you click the link to the underlying search, you'll be able to view the stats from the defensive perspective (which team allows the highest TD percentage, etc), as well as each individual drive that matched the results.

Touchdown Percentage


Tm G Possessions TD Pct
CGY 11 163 34 21%
WPG 12 178 25 14%
EDM 11 171 23 13%
TOR 11 173 23 13%
SSK 11 161 19 12%
BC 11 169 19 11%
HAM 10 156 17 11%
MTL 11 169 13 8%
ORB 10 145 11 8%
Total 98 1485 184 12%

Drives starting inside your own 20 yard line


There is a slight semantic difference in the search here - "inside the 20" on the drive finder includes the 20 yard line, while the TSN data does not.  The actual search results presented here from CFLStats.ca is "Drives inside own 19".  That said, the TSN article may mixing the two data sets, as they claim a 21% TD rate for the Stamps, which is correct if I include the 20 yard line, but a 0% rate for the Riders, which is only correct if I omit the 20 yard line.  The issue here may be that TSN's source tracks the starting line of scrimmage independently from the CFL's scoring, which is what CFLStats.ca's stats are based off of.

Tm G Possessions TDs Pct
CGY 10 32 6 19%
MTL 10 21 3 14%
WPG 11 30 4 13%
BC 10 21 2 10%
ORB 9 20 2 10%
TOR 11 33 3 9%
EDM 10 24 2 8%
HAM 9 29 1 3%
SSK 10 25 0 0%
Total 90 235 23 10%

Drives starting from own 21-49


I don't have a good search for this one, I had to search for drives within own 49 and remove the data from drives within own 20.  Even still, my numbers are quite different from TSN's here.

Tm G #Dr TDs Pct
BC 11 118 11 9%
CGY 11 86 16 19%
EDM 11 112 11 10%
HAM 10 95 12 13%
MTL 11 124 6 5%
ORB 10 105 6 6%
SSK 11 104 6 6%
TOR 11 110 10 9%
WPG 12 110 16 15%
Total 98 964 94 10%

Starting from Opponent's End


I'd very much like to see TSN's source data on this one to compare, because they or I have a big error (or Mr. LaPolice made a mistake in this section).  There are minor discrepancies here such as the article crediting the Riders with 9 touchdowns on 21 possessions, vs my data showing 8 touchdowns on 21 possessions, but the big one here is Toronto, which isn't included in the article's data.  The article claims that the Riders lead the league with a 43% TD rate, but according to my data, Toronto is way ahead of the pack at 53%.

Tm G #Dr TD Pct
BC 11 21 5 24%
CGY 9 30 12 40%
EDM 9 26 9 35%
HAM 9 20 3 15%
MTL 8 15 2 13%
ORB 7 10 2 20%
SSK 8 21 8 38%
TOR 9 17 9 53%
WPG 11 25 5 20%
Total 81 185 55 30%

1 comment:

  1. It might be interesting after the season has ended to check out the past few years as well as the 2014 season and plot the drive's starting position against % that resulted in a touchdown, % that resulted in field goals, % that resulted in one or two points and % that resulted in zero points.

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